Here are the major differences seen between my pre-draft rankings, the rankings on the most popular fantasy site (or at least the site I use), and the ADPs calculated by fantasyfootballcalculator.com. Here are links to each of my rankings . So with no further ado, here they are:
Guys I'm taking earlier than the others
Doug Martin - 1 in my rankings, 3 for ADP and Yahoo. You should click on that 1-3 link over there and you should read why. He's ranked 3rd on Yahoo and that's his ADP as well. If you have first or second pick, meander on over to my write-up of him and prepare to have a few "hmmms" and "oh wows".
Trent Richardson - 5 in my rankings, 8 for ADP, 11 on Yahoo. Trent's going to be a workhorse in Norv Turner and Rob Chudzinski's system. BEAST
Steven Jackson - 6 in my rankings, 16 for ADP, 13 on Yahoo. I'm buying SJax starting with the 6th pick. Just look at Steven Jackson's career stats, then look at Michael Turner's stats from the past 5 seasons (especially the touchdowns), then imagine a better-than-Turner Sjax, who is also a better receiver than Turner ever was, as the lead back for the high-powered Falcons offense. Boom.
Steven Ridley - 13 in my rankings, 14 for ADP, 24 on Yahoo. Alert to those drafting online on Yahoo: Ridley would be a steal at the end of the 2nd round, and I ranked him early in the 2nd for non-ppr leagues.
Frank Gore - 20 in my rankings, 24 for ADP, 35 on Yahoo. If you can get Gore early third round on Yahoo, I'd go for it. The 49ers have one of the best, if not THE best offensive lines in football, and Jim Harbaugh is kinda a genius.
Demarco Murray 23 in my rankings, 28 for ADP, 42 on Yahoo. Another Yahoo sleeper alert, he has the skills and opportunity to be a top 10 back and his offensive line is better this year.
Dwayne Bowe - 27 in my rankings, 46 for ADP, 38 on Yahoo. I see a big season for Bowe, his first with an offensive guru head coach, Andy Reid, and his first competent quarterback, Alex Smith.
Ahmad Bradshaw - 33 in my rankings, 51 for ADP, 71 on Yahoo. The first but certainly not last 30+ disparity between my rankings and those of Yahoo. I think Bradshaw becomes the lead back for the Colts and runs his way toward a great season.
Eric Decker - 39 in my rankings, 65 for ADP, 54 on Yahoo. He was Peyton Manning's favorite red zone target last year, and Welker's presence should open up holes for Decker. Love me some Eric Decker this year
Vernon Davis - 40 in my rankings, 58 for ADP, 57 on Yahoo. Kaepernick has to throw to somebody other than Boldin, and I can see Davis stepping up big for the niners this year.
Shane Vereen - 47 in my rankings, 62 for ADP, 74 on Yahoo. I know I love Vereen this year a lot, but the ADP is going to keep creeping down towards my number. I expect a lot of touches, especially receptions, for Vereen in the Pats offense, you know, the one who ran the second most amount of plays in NFL history last year.
Andrew Luck - 54 in my rankings, 76 for ADP, 60 on Yahoo. Luck is AMAZING. He should be one of the the first 7 qbs off the board.
Rashard Mendenhall - 62 in my rankings, 73 for ADP and Yahoo. Mendenhall is going to catch a lot of checkdown passes from Palmer but I wouldn't expect too much from the rushing aspect other than 4-8 tds.
Mark Ingram - 63 in my rankings, 87 for ADP, 99 on Yahoo. Grab Ingram, he's in line for a big role in the Saints offense this year. The Saints had the most 50/50 rushing/passing game in 2011 under Sean Payton, and will run the ball more than people realize. Ingram in his third year is prime to have a huge role in the Saints offense.
Josh Gordon, Golden Tate, TY Hilton, Chris Givens - 68-71 in my rankings, 69-100 for ADP, 83-122 on Yahoo. I fore see HUMONGOGINORMOUS years for these 34 and they are all criminally underranked on Yahoo.
Bilal Powell - 81 in my rankings, 149 for ADP, 136 on Yahoo. Chris Ivory is made of glass alert.
Jermichael Finley, Zach Sudfeld, Julius Thomas, Jordan Cameron, and Coby Fleener - 84-88 in my rankings, 85-unranked for ADP (Thomas), and 102-1977 for Yahoo. Let's just say I think the tight ends that will end up in the top 10 are kinda low in other people's rankings, but that may not last long
Joique Bell - 95 in my rankings, unranked for ADP, 167 on Yahoo. I'm a Joique lover. Reggie Bush is suddenly no longer injury prone so Bell will only be the goal line and change of pace back, right? I could see Bell being a perfect running back for the Lions offense, with his combined rushing and pass catching ability.
Michael Floyd 96, 180, 116 and Emmanuel Sanders 97, 115, 112 - two more young receivers I can see having big years.
Roy Helu 100, 175, 190 - love Helu, third down back with the talent for more in the run heavy Redskins offense
Mohamed Sanu, Kenbrell Thompkins, Greg Little, Andre Roberts etc., I like a good amount of wideouts a lot.
Guys I'm taking later than others
Arian Foster - 10 in my rankings, 7 for ADP, 2 on Yahoo. Foster's great, I'm just taking Martin, Peterson, and Charles, in that order, before him.
UPDATE: hasn't played with back injuries... waiting for updates from the Texans.
Aaron Rodgers - 27 in my rankings, 26 for ADP, 19 on Yahoo - I would advocate not taking Rodgers this year until the 3rd round, but Yahoo disagrees.
No comments:
Post a Comment